Car Buying

Shared Self-Driving Cars Will Account for 25 Percent of Miles Driven in US by 2030

RELATED INVENTORY
Saving this vehicle to yourMy Autotrader account
Are you sure you want to delete?
Used 2017 Volvo XC60 AWD T5 Inscription
Used 2017 Volvo XC60
$31,981
Saving this vehicle to yourMy Autotrader account
Are you sure you want to delete?
Used 2017 Volvo XC60 FWD T5 Dynamic
Used 2017 Volvo XC60
$31,480
Saving this vehicle to yourMy Autotrader account
Are you sure you want to delete?
Used 2017 Volvo S90 T5 Momentum
Used 2017 Volvo S90
$33,300
Saving this vehicle to yourMy Autotrader account
Are you sure you want to delete?
Used 2017 Volvo S60 T5 Dynamic
Used 2017 Volvo S60
$22,580
RELATED READING
See all Volvo any articles
RESEARCH BY MAKE
Toyota cars, trucks and SUVs Ford cars, trucks and SUVs Honda cars, trucks and SUVs Chevrolet cars, trucks and SUVs Jeep cars, trucks and SUVs Nissan cars, trucks and SUVs Lexus cars, trucks and SUVs Volkswagen cars, trucks and SUVs BMW cars, trucks and SUVs
Acura cars, trucks and SUVs Alfa Romeo cars, trucks and SUVs AMC cars, trucks and SUVs Aston Martin cars, trucks and SUVs Audi cars, trucks and SUVs Bentley cars, trucks and SUVs BMW cars, trucks and SUVs Bugatti cars, trucks and SUVs Buick cars, trucks and SUVs Cadillac cars, trucks and SUVs Chevrolet cars, trucks and SUVs Chrysler cars, trucks and SUVs Daewoo cars, trucks and SUVs Datsun cars, trucks and SUVs DeLorean cars, trucks and SUVs Dodge cars, trucks and SUVs Eagle cars, trucks and SUVs Ferrari cars, trucks and SUVs FIAT cars, trucks and SUVs Fisker cars, trucks and SUVs Ford cars, trucks and SUVs Freightliner cars, trucks and SUVs Genesis cars, trucks and SUVs Geo cars, trucks and SUVs GMC cars, trucks and SUVs Honda cars, trucks and SUVs HUMMER cars, trucks and SUVs Hyundai cars, trucks and SUVs INFINITI cars, trucks and SUVs Isuzu cars, trucks and SUVs Jaguar cars, trucks and SUVs Jeep cars, trucks and SUVs Kia cars, trucks and SUVs Lamborghini cars, trucks and SUVs Land Rover cars, trucks and SUVs Lexus cars, trucks and SUVs Lincoln cars, trucks and SUVs Lotus cars, trucks and SUVs Maserati cars, trucks and SUVs Maybach cars, trucks and SUVs Mazda cars, trucks and SUVs McLaren cars, trucks and SUVs Mercedes-Benz cars, trucks and SUVs Mercury cars, trucks and SUVs MINI cars, trucks and SUVs Mitsubishi cars, trucks and SUVs Nissan cars, trucks and SUVs Oldsmobile cars, trucks and SUVs Plymouth cars, trucks and SUVs Pontiac cars, trucks and SUVs Porsche cars, trucks and SUVs RAM cars, trucks and SUVs Rolls-Royce cars, trucks and SUVs Saab cars, trucks and SUVs Saturn cars, trucks and SUVs Scion cars, trucks and SUVs smart cars, trucks and SUVs SRT cars, trucks and SUVs Subaru cars, trucks and SUVs Suzuki cars, trucks and SUVs Tesla cars, trucks and SUVs Toyota cars, trucks and SUVs Volkswagen cars, trucks and SUVs Volvo cars, trucks and SUVs Yugo cars, trucks and SUVs
RESEARCH BY STYLE
AWD/4WD
Commercial
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
Hybrid/Electric
Luxury
Sedan
SUV/Crossover
Truck
Van/Minivan
Wagon
ADDITIONAL MODEL INFORMATION

author photo by Russ Heaps June 2017

If a recent Boston Consulting Group (BCG) report proves accurate, shared self-driving cars, also called autonomous vehicles (AVs), will represent one out of every four miles driven by 2030. Will you be zipping around maybe with a couple of strangers in a driverless car you don't own 13 years from now? Hard to tell -- but more than likely, it'll depend on where you live.

There's little question autonomous technology will be far enough along by 2030 for there to be commercial self-driving cars and trucks operating along preset routes and within predetermined corridors. In fact, the only barriers to widespread consumer use of AVs by that date will have more to do with nontechnical issues such as regulations, insurance and AV price tags. If you think new cars are expensive now, hold on to your hat for cars crammed full of autonomous technology.

Three-Legged Stool

The future of mobility as viewed by BCG and many other industry watchers calls for the inevitability of 1) AVs, 2) Electric Propulsion and 3) Ride Sharing. That is, personal transportation will eventually be comprised of folks sharing electric-powered, autonomous vehicles. The best guess is that consumers will summon driverless cars using whatever passes for the smartphone app of tomorrow to take them where they need to go. Got it: autonomy, electric and sharing.

Economy of Scale

The farther away from the center of a big city like Boston, Chicago or New York you are, the less likely it is you'll be on the cutting edge BCG foresees. Economy of scale will have much to do with where and how rapidly average citizens adopt BCG's vision. AVs, at least in the near future, will be outrageously expensive. Because they won't require an alert human at the wheel, they can theoretically operate 24/7 until the wheels fall off. That's good for car-sharing services like Uber, because each AV can then make money 24 hours a day.

With so many potential customers packed into busy urban areas, car-sharing AVs have a better chance to stay busy. The denser the population in any given area, the less expensive it is to operate a car-sharing AV. Moreover, congested urban areas typically have more vehicles than parking spaces. AVs, particularly ones in a car-sharing fleet, never need to park. Or they can seek out parking outside the crowded downtown corridors.

More Power, Scotty

Although battery ranges are improving somewhat, current battery technology means electric vehicles are best suited for the shorter distances of urban areas. By 2030, hydrogen fuel-cell electric cars should be more prolific, at least on the two coasts, which will remove the stigma of range anxiety from electric cars -- but in the meantime, electric vehicles will primarily roam downtown streets.

What it means to you: BCG's view of the future is probably fairly accurate. Whether you participate, though, depends on where you live, work and play.

RELATED INVENTORY
Saving this vehicle to yourMy Autotrader account
Are you sure you want to delete?
Used 2017 Volvo XC60 AWD T5 Inscription
Used 2017 Volvo XC60
$31,981
Saving this vehicle to yourMy Autotrader account
Are you sure you want to delete?
Used 2017 Volvo XC60 FWD T5 Dynamic
Used 2017 Volvo XC60
$31,480
Saving this vehicle to yourMy Autotrader account
Are you sure you want to delete?
Used 2017 Volvo S90 T5 Momentum
Used 2017 Volvo S90
$33,300
Saving this vehicle to yourMy Autotrader account
Are you sure you want to delete?
Used 2017 Volvo S60 T5 Dynamic
Used 2017 Volvo S60
$22,580
This image is a stock photo and is not an exact representation of any vehicle offered for sale. Advertised vehicles of this model may have styling, trim levels, colors and optional equipment that differ from the stock photo.
Shared Self-Driving Cars Will Account for 25 Percent of Miles Driven in US by 2030 - Autotrader